![]() Hill is ticketed for more targets this season, but consider that he found the end zone on nine of his 83 offensive touches and another three as a returner last year. Stills, the Fins' third-most targeted receiver last season, won't sustain anything close to his 19.1 percent rate (47 catches, nine TDs) in 2017. Sixty-five of them (93 percent) scored fewer TDs the next season, with an average dip of 6.1 scores. Hill is an inefficient runner and won't see nearly as many touches.ĭuring the past decade, 70 players posted a season in which they scored on 15 percent of receptions. Expect that streak to end in 2017 after the team upgraded to Joe Mixon via the draft. Hill has scored at least nine touchdowns during each of his first three seasons in the league. Coleman's scoring rate is far from sustainable, especially when you consider that he registered only three carries inside the opponent's 5, and zero end-zone targets. One of the many benefactors of Atlanta's historic offensive season, Coleman found pay dirt on 11 of his 149 touches last year. He might still handle goal-line duties in Minnesota, but rookie Dalvin Cook is ticketed for a big role. Murray's 12 TDs and third-best TD-per-rush ratio last season was a product of 16 carries inside opponents' 5-yard line, the league's fifth most. This will mean more running, and thus a big dip in pass attempts for Bortles. Jacksonville's defense is much improved and the team selected workhorse Leonard Fournette with the fourth pick in April's draft. Expect a return to earth following what was a career year at age 31.īortles has finished as a top-10 fantasy quarterback each of the past two seasons despite major efficiency woes. Ryan's numbers were inflated by his receivers dropping only 10 balls while generating 6.2 yards after catch. Ryan is terrific, but last season's 9.26 YPA (yards per attempt) was the highest we've seen since Kurt Warner's historic 9.88 back in 2000. Players whose fantasy production might not measure up to their ADP ![]() We asked each of them to tackle a different area and give us a list of players to pick or pass on come draft day. ESPN fantasy football experts Mike Clay, Field Yates, Eric Karabell, Matt Bowen and Ken Daube are here to help you steer clear of the flops and pounce on the sleepers and breakouts in 2017. Conversely, woe to those who spend a first-round pick on a player with inflated value because of a freakishly great (and unrepeatable) 2016.įear not. Your success this fantasy season likely will be determined by whether you're smart (or lucky) enough on draft day to grab that player on the brink of exploding production, that rookie who has fallen into just the right situation or that veteran poised to flourish in new surroundings. Players to pick or pass on in your 2017 fantasy football draft ![]() You have reached a degraded version of because you're using an unsupported version of Internet Explorer.įor a complete experience, please upgrade or use a supported browser
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